Widebody Aircraft in Passenger Service 1999-2018 Widebody passenger aircraft have been seeing a deployment shift over the long term Very large aircraft like the 747 (all series) and the A380-800 has seen a consistent decline in fleet development over the last 20-years From 600+ aircraft in 1999 to less than 400 (on a combined basis) […]
With the announcement of the Airbus A380-800 production shutdown in 2021, here are some thoughts on the aircraft from a value perspective. The shutdown announcement is largely based on the weaknesses of the A380 that have been apparent for several years: High transition cost between operators Limited in-service fleet after ten years of production Small […]
Today only, for the first 5 subscribers to the AVITAS Online Value System with Lease-Encumbered Values, you and one guest can join us in the AVITAS suite to see the Rolling Stones concert in Landover, Maryland on Friday, May 31, 2019. Includes a morning presentation on the state of the Aviation Industry by Adam Pilarski and […]
Executive Summary Operating leases of commercial aircraft make up approximately 40% of the world’s fleet. The need for Lease-Encumbered Valuations is increasing as more and more aircraft are sold or financed with leases attached. Because a Lease-Encumbered Value (“LEV”) opinion requires access to lease contract details, providing this type of value opinion will only be […]
In the second part of two columns, Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, argues that it will only be a matter of time before passengers are paying more to travel by supersonic aircraft. Click here to download the PDF version of Speed and the question of first-class travel In last month’s column, I wrote about […]
Turboprop Migration While passenger turboprop aircraft fleets are smaller when compared to jet aircraft, there are still many in service Asia/Pacific region accounts for most followed by North America and Europe But, a migration is underway; the Asia/Pacific region has about 30% of the in-service passenger turboprops in service but near 70% of the total […]
In the first part of two articles, Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, Inc., explains why airlines’ quest for speed will come back as a major technological drive in the years to come. Click here to download the PDF version of Speed, the final frontier and implications for the industry Humans have dreamt forever of being […]
Jet Aircraft Deliveries for China and Rest of World by Month Commercial jet aircraft deliveries to China continue to expand Over the last 12 months, deliveries to China alone have accounted for almost a third of all worldwide deliveries
Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, looks forward to 16 October to show that his long-term – or is it short-term? – forecast was correct. Mystery of my oil price forecast – Download the PDF version here The date 16 October 2018 is approaching and I get a lot of messages reminding me of a […]
Boeing formerly dominated the MoM sector with 757s and 767s; in 1998 Boeing had 75% of this market Today, Airbus now has a 60% to 40% advantage over Boeing thanks to A321/A330-200,300s Since 2010, Airbus has grown its MoM aircraft from 1,400 in-service airplanes to about 2,900 while Boeing went from 1,550 to 2,000 Airbus […]