Adam Pilarski

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Adam Pilarski

PILARSKI Says – Diverging path of passenger and cargo traffic growth rates

Cargo has become a finicky child who is hard to predict, writes Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS. Click here to download the PDF version of Diverging path of passenger and cargo traffic growth rates   As an old practitioner of traffic forecasting, I knew the simple trick of coming up with cargo traffic forecasts: […]

AVITAS Key Takeaways – Cargo Facts Symposium – San Diego October 16-18

Cargo Facts Symposium 2019 – Key Takeaways Most delegates were positive on long-term growth despite trade headwinds. While cargo growth has been negative over the last year due to the tariffs and trade war, the express freight and e-commerce traffic have been growing at healthy rates. It has been the traditional heavy freight traffic and […]

2nd Half 2019 AVITAS BlueBook of Turboprop Values available

The 2nd Half 2019 AVITAS BlueBook of Turboprop Values is now available to order. The AVITAS BlueBook of Turboprop Values provides base, current market and future base values for approximately 35 different types. An indispensable reference source for those who wish to follow the turboprop aircraft market. The BlueBook also provides brief program history, fleet […]

2nd Half 2019 AVITAS BlueBook of Jet Aircraft Values available

The 2nd Half 2019 AVITAS BlueBook of Jet Aircraft Values is now available to order. Considered the industry’s most respected source of commercial aircraft values, the AVITAS BlueBook of Jet Aircraft Values contains base, current market and future values forecasts for all major western-built jet types, including regional jets. The values tables are accompanied by […]

Adam Pilarski

PILARSKI Says – Fake news or MDC as source of Boeing’s problems

Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, writes a highly personalised defence of Boeing in an age of pseudo-facts. Click here to download the PDF version of Fake news or MDC as source of Boeing’s problems   The tragic events surrounding the 737 Max temporary grounding led to a plethora of ridiculous speculations and falsehoods. Let […]

Adam Pilarski

PILARSKI Says – How demography will transform aviation: a very long-term view

Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, writes that China’s ageing population is already having an impact on growth, and it will get worse. Click here to download the PDF version of How demography will transform aviation: a very long-term view   Forecasting in our industry deals with very short-term predictions. The aviation business is extremely […]

Adam Pilarski

Opinion: There’s An Aircraft Order Bubble—And It Is About To Burst

End of the Party  There are two independent elements to forecasting: getting the prediction right and determining the time when the prediction will materialize. These two elements are quite different. For instance, we all know that we will die someday, but having an indication as to the exact timing could be very significant. Getting the […]

Adam Pilarski

PILARSKI Says – How three-times ‘no’ will result in ‘yes’

Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, believes Boeing’s New Mid-Market Aircraft will go ahead despite good reasons for the programme to be shelved. Click here to download the PDF version of Boeing’s New Mid-Market Aircraft will go ahead despite good reasons for the programme to be shelved The biggest decision facing aircraft manufacturers is the […]

Major Industry Events A380 Production & 737 MAX

A couple of major industry events are getting a lot of attention.  In February, Airbus announced the end of A380 production after the remaining orders are delivered over the next two years.  This announcement follows the cancellation of orders by the largest operator, Emirates.  Recently, Lufthansa reported that they are going to trade 6 of […]

Adam Pilarski

PILARSKI Says – Are we more accurate in predicting short or long-term future?

Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, explains why it is easier to predict long-term growth in the Asian market than passenger growth at St Louis Lambert airport. Click here to download the PDF version of Are we more accurate in predicting short or long-term future? A puzzling question is the relationship of the time horizon […]