It could be a permanent shift or a temporary setback, even so, aviation will suffer, writes Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS. (With the assistance of Joshua Pilarski.) Click to download the PDF version – Are we about to enter the era of deglobalization? For quite some time we have experienced an era of globalization, […]
In these times of turmoil you still need common sense and an understanding of aviation to make proper investment decisions writes Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice President at AVITAS. Click to download the PDF version – Times have changed but wise decision-making has not With everything changing dramatically and the world in a topsy-turvy situation it […]
The present aviation catastrophe makes all the previous “once-in-a-lifetime”disasters look like a walk in the park, says Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice President at AVITAS . But even though we could see a loss of four years of growth, a new, brighter era could emerge for the industry.. Click to download the PDF version – Aviation […]
The current deviation from the well-accepted relationship of economic and aviation cycles makes the life of forecasters very difficult, writes Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice President at AVITAS. Click to download the PDF version – How manufacturer problems deflated my bubble For a long time forecasters and practitioners of aviation developments used a well-documented and […]
The world is in a volatile state, leaving aviation exposed, writes Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice President at AVITAS. Click to download the PDF version – The world is in a volatile state, leaving aviation exposed A fairly short time ago I believed that the situation in aviation was expressed by a catchy and kitschy […]
The world is in a volatile state, leaving aviation exposed, writes Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice President at AVITAS Click to download the PDF version – From everything being awesome to changing times A fairly short time ago I believed that the situation in aviation was expressed by a catchy and kitschy tune from The Lego […]
Cargo has become a finicky child who is hard to predict, writes Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS. Click here to download the PDF version of Diverging path of passenger and cargo traffic growth rates As an old practitioner of traffic forecasting, I knew the simple trick of coming up with cargo traffic forecasts: […]
Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, writes a highly personalised defence of Boeing in an age of pseudo-facts. Click here to download the PDF version of Fake news or MDC as source of Boeing’s problems The tragic events surrounding the 737 Max temporary grounding led to a plethora of ridiculous speculations and falsehoods. Let […]
Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, writes that China’s ageing population is already having an impact on growth, and it will get worse. Click here to download the PDF version of How demography will transform aviation: a very long-term view Forecasting in our industry deals with very short-term predictions. The aviation business is extremely […]
End of the Party There are two independent elements to forecasting: getting the prediction right and determining the time when the prediction will materialize. These two elements are quite different. For instance, we all know that we will die someday, but having an indication as to the exact timing could be very significant. Getting the […]