Archive for the ‘Consulting’ Category

Where Lease Rates are Going in a Higher Interest Rate Environment

  Interest Rates and Lease Rentals per month correlate strongly against one another and are positive in orientation (as interest rates increase, lease rentals also increase) Using A320-200 new build aircraft (years 1998 to 2017), adjusted monthly lease rates using CPI; thus adjustment is in 2017 US dollars Overlaid lease rates with one-year Libor rates […]

Adam Pilarski

Disruptive events do not change long-term fundamental relationships

Events such as 9/11 and a potential US-Russia war should not negatively impact aviation in the long term, because it is an industry built on longer-term trends and relationships, writes Adam Pilarksi, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS. The world is on edge right now. There is the prospect of all-out war in the Middle East focused […]

Adam Pilarski

Opinion: Where is the Aircraft Market Headed? Look to China

It is a good time to be in the airplane business. Backlogs are at historical highs and airlines are making record profits. CEOs such as Boeing’s Dennis Muilenburg and American Airlines’ Doug Parker say we are no longer in a cyclical industry. Boeing’s share price more than doubled last year, and the super-long waiting periods for new […]

Adam Pilarski

How come the Airbus 380 king of the skies appears to be on life support?

The Airbus A380 relied too much on a single customer, which was likely paying below average price for the aircraft, according to Adam Pilarski, senior vice-president at AVITAS. Download the PDF Version – How come king of the skies appears to be on life support? The Boeing flagship 747 was often called the “queen of […]

Adam Pilarski

The Underappreciated Value of Experience and its Relevance Today

With a downturn on the horizon, a surfeit of new market players that have not been through one before is disconcerting, writes Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS Download the PDF Version – The underappreciated value of experience and its relevance today December 26 was the anniversary of Chairman Mao’s birth. The Chinese government is […]

Adam Pilarski

A provocative view of globalisation future

Airlines and original equipment manufacturers are showing signs of wanting to restrict competition, writes Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS Download the PDF Version – A Provocative View of Globalisation’s Future The past few decades are the age of globalisation. The world is getting smaller and much more interconnected. Trade has been growing in line […]

Percentage of World Widebody Aircraft Backlog for Middle Eastern Airlines

What Goes Up Must Come Down Middle East order backlog for widebody aircraft now totals about 700 aircraft. The order backlog in this region has risen rapidly from ten years ago and now represents about 30% of worldwide widebody aircraft orders. Of significance is the relationship between oil price and orders for widebody airplanes. As […]

Adam Pilarski

Middle East slowdown has profound implications on aviation

The big three Middle Eastern carriers grew at an unprecedented rate, despite having no real domestic basis to justify it, says Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS. Download the PDF Version – Middle East slowdown has profound implications on aviation Recent developments in the Middle East dampened the overall positive outlook for aviation experienced by […]

Who’s Exposed at Alitalia?

With Alitalia in bankruptcy (amministrazione straordinaria in Italian), which lessors have exposure? Alitalia has an aircraft fleet of just over 100 aircraft; the list above indicates some of the more prominent lessors who own aircraft deployed by Alitalia Their most popular aircraft with lessors is the A320-200 followed by A330-200s AerCap with seven aircraft, followed by […]