News & Events

Adam Pilarski

PILARSKI Says – Speed and the question of first-class travel

In the second part of two columns, Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, argues that it will only be a matter of time before passengers are paying more to travel by supersonic aircraft. Click here to download the PDF version of  Speed and the question of first-class travel In last month’s column, I wrote about […]

Economic Weakness in China

Great stall After stabilizing, China’s economy is decelerating again, slowed by debt and a trade fight with the U.S. 2018 economic growth in China represented slowest pace since 1990 Weakness across the board: Purchases by individuals are reduced Investments by business and government are diminished Property sales are weak

Where are We in the Cycle?

Where are We in the Cycle? 10- Year Treasury Minus 2-Year Treasury The business cycle is difficult to predict as there are many moving parts But, a pretty good indicator is available by monitoring 10-year treasury yields minus 2-year treasuries This difference has predicted at least five recessions over the last 40 years When 10-year […]

Passenger Turboprop Aircraft by World Region – In Service and On Order

Turboprop Migration While passenger turboprop aircraft fleets are smaller when compared to jet aircraft, there are still many in service Asia/Pacific region accounts for most followed by North America and Europe But, a migration is underway; the Asia/Pacific region has about 30% of the in-service passenger turboprops in service but near 70% of the total […]

Adam Pilarski

PILARSKI Says – Speed, the final frontier and implications for the industry

In the first part of two articles, Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, Inc., explains why airlines’ quest for speed will come back as a major technological drive in the years to come. Click here to download the PDF version of  Speed, the final frontier and implications for the industry Humans have dreamt forever of being […]

Adam Pilarski

Mystery of my oil price forecast

Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice-President at AVITAS, looks forward to 16 October to show that his long-term – or is it short-term? – forecast was correct. Mystery of my oil price forecast – Download the PDF version here The date 16 October 2018 is approaching and I get a lot of messages reminding me of a […]

Who Needs the Middle of the Market Aircraft More?

Boeing formerly dominated the MoM sector with 757s and 767s; in 1998 Boeing had 75% of this market Today, Airbus now has a 60% to 40% advantage over Boeing thanks to A321/A330-200,300s Since 2010, Airbus has grown its MoM aircraft from 1,400 in-service airplanes to about 2,900 while Boeing went from 1,550 to 2,000 Airbus […]

Where Lease Rates are Going in a Higher Interest Rate Environment

  Interest Rates and Lease Rentals per month correlate strongly against one another and are positive in orientation (as interest rates increase, lease rentals also increase) Using A320-200 new build aircraft (years 1998 to 2017), adjusted monthly lease rates using CPI; thus adjustment is in 2017 US dollars Overlaid lease rates with one-year Libor rates […]